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2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Closes Tue, Nov 03, 12:00 AM
Market history
Probability over time
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D
Democrats 16%+
D
Democrats 14-16%
D
Democrats 12-14%
D
Democrats 10-12%
D
Democrats 8-10%
D
Democrats 6-8%
D
Democrats 4-6%
D
Democrats 2-4%
D
Democrats 0-2%
R
Republicans 0-2%
R
Republicans 2-4%
R
Republicans 4-6%
R
Republicans 6%+