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Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Closes Fri, Apr 30, 12:00 AM

Market history

Probability over time

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M

Marine Le Pen

87%

É

Édouard Philippe

56%

F

François Bayrou

46%

J

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

39%

G

Gérald Darmanin

10%

G

Gabriel Attal

10%

F

François Hollande

8%

J

Jordan Bardella

8%

L

Laurent Wauquiez

7%

R

Raphaël Glucksmann

6%

N

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

5%

O

Olivier Faure

5%

S

Sébastien Lecornu

5%

B

Bernard Cazeneuve

4%

F

Fabien Roussel

4%

D

Dominique de Villepin

4%

É

Élisabeth Borne

4%

É

Éric Zemmour

3%

B

Bruno Retailleau

3%

M

Mathilde Panot

3%

D

David Lisnard

3%

F

François Ruffin

2%

M

Manuel Bompard

2%

Y

Yaël Braun-Pivet

2%

M

Michel Barnier

2%

F

François Asselineau

2%

C

Carole Delga

2%

S

Sarah Knafo

2%

J

Juan Branco

2%

C

Clémentine Autain

1%

S

Ségolène Royal

1%

X

Xavier Bertrand

1%

J

Jean Castex

1%

V

Valérie Pécresse

1%

M

Marine Tondelier

1%

C

Clémence Guetté

<1%

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round? | Riff