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US Trade Deficit in 2026?
Closes Sun, Feb 28, 12:00 AM
Market history
Probability over time
Loading market history
<500B
3
%
3%
Yes
3
¢
3¢
No
9
7
¢
97¢
500–600B
5
%
5%
Yes
5
¢
5¢
No
9
5
¢
95¢
600–700B
9
%
9%
Yes
9
¢
9¢
No
9
1
¢
91¢
700–800B
3
1
%
31%
Yes
3
1
¢
31¢
No
7
0
¢
70¢
800–900B
4
2
%
42%
Yes
4
2
¢
42¢
No
5
8
¢
58¢
900B–1T
1
6
%
16%
Yes
1
6
¢
16¢
No
8
5
¢
85¢
1T–1.1T
5
%
5%
Yes
5
¢
5¢
No
9
5
¢
95¢
1.1T+
5
%
5%
Yes
5
¢
5¢
No
9
5
¢
95¢
About this market
US Trade Deficit in 2026? | Riff