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What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Riff
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Closes Thu, Dec 31, 11:59 PM
Market history
Probability over time
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I
Iran Reconstruction Funding
2
5
%
25%
Yes
2
5
¢
25¢
No
7
5
¢
75¢
U
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)
1
8
%
18%
Yes
1
8
¢
18¢
No
8
3
¢
83¢
≤
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)
1
6
%
16%
Yes
1
6
¢
16¢
No
8
5
¢
85¢
D
Dilution of Iran's Uranium
1
4
%
14%
Yes
1
4
¢
14¢
No
8
7
¢
87¢
1
1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium
1
2
%
12%
Yes
1
2
¢
12¢
No
8
9
¢
89¢
E
Enriched Uranium Surrender
1
1
%
11%
Yes
1
1
¢
11¢
No
9
0
¢
90¢
About this market