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Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Closes Thu, Dec 31, 12:00 AM

Market history

Probability over time

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OpenAI

35%

Google

20%

Alibaba

13%

Meta

13%

xAI

13%

Z.ai

9%

ByteDance

8%

Moonshot

8%

DeepSeek

8%

Baidu

7%

Microsoft

6%

Amazon

5%

Meituan

5%

Mistral

3%

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31? | Riff