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Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
Closes Fri, Dec 31, 11:59 PM
Market history
Probability over time
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P
Pete Buttigieg
8
5
%
85%
Yes
8
5
¢
85¢
No
1
5
¢
15¢
G
Gavin Newsom
8
0
%
80%
Yes
8
0
¢
80¢
No
2
0
¢
20¢
A
Andy Beshear
7
8
%
78%
Yes
7
8
¢
78¢
No
2
2
¢
22¢
J
J.D. Vance
7
6
%
76%
Yes
7
6
¢
76¢
No
2
4
¢
24¢
R
Ron DeSantis
7
5
%
75%
Yes
7
5
¢
75¢
No
2
5
¢
25¢
T
Ted Cruz
7
5
%
75%
Yes
7
5
¢
75¢
No
2
6
¢
26¢
R
Rahm Emanuel
7
4
%
74%
Yes
7
4
¢
74¢
No
2
6
¢
26¢
A
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
6
9
%
69%
Yes
6
9
¢
69¢
No
3
2
¢
32¢
J
Josh Shapiro
6
9
%
69%
Yes
6
9
¢
69¢
No
3
2
¢
32¢
J
J.B. Pritzker
6
7
%
67%
Yes
6
7
¢
67¢
No
3
3
¢
33¢
K
Kamala Harris
6
6
%
66%
Yes
6
6
¢
66¢
No
3
4
¢
34¢
C
Cory Booker
6
6
%
66%
Yes
6
6
¢
66¢
No
3
4
¢
34¢
M
Mark Kelly
6
3
%
63%
Yes
6
3
¢
63¢
No
3
8
¢
38¢
W
Wes Moore
6
0
%
60%
Yes
6
0
¢
60¢
No
4
1
¢
41¢
J
Jon Ossoff
5
4
%
54%
Yes
5
4
¢
54¢
No
4
7
¢
47¢
S
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
5
0
%
50%
Yes
5
0
¢
50¢
No
5
0
¢
50¢
I
Ivanka Trump
4
9
%
49%
Yes
4
9
¢
49¢
No
5
1
¢
51¢
C
Candace Owens
4
8
%
48%
Yes
4
8
¢
48¢
No
5
2
¢
52¢
K
Kristi Noem
4
8
%
48%
Yes
4
8
¢
48¢
No
5
2
¢
52¢
M
Marco Rubio
4
8
%
48%
Yes
4
8
¢
48¢
No
5
2
¢
52¢
M
Matt Gaetz
4
7
%
47%
Yes
4
7
¢
47¢
No
5
4
¢
54¢
D
Don Lemon
4
6
%
46%
Yes
4
6
¢
46¢
No
5
4
¢
54¢
A
Andrew Yang
3
9
%
39%
Yes
3
9
¢
39¢
No
6
1
¢
61¢
B
Byron Donalds
3
7
%
37%
Yes
3
7
¢
37¢
No
6
4
¢
64¢
R
Rand Paul
3
6
%
36%
Yes
3
6
¢
36¢
No
6
4
¢
64¢
N
Nikki Haley
3
6
%
36%
Yes
3
6
¢
36¢
No
6
5
¢
65¢
J
Jared Polis
3
5
%
35%
Yes
3
5
¢
35¢
No
6
6
¢
66¢
G
Gretchen Whitmer
3
2
%
32%
Yes
3
2
¢
32¢
No
6
8
¢
68¢
V
Vivek Ramaswamy
3
1
%
31%
Yes
3
1
¢
31¢
No
7
0
¢
70¢
G
Glenn Youngkin
3
0
%
30%
Yes
3
0
¢
30¢
No
7
0
¢
70¢
R
Raphael Warnock
3
0
%
30%
Yes
3
0
¢
30¢
No
7
1
¢
71¢
K
Katie Britt
2
8
%
28%
Yes
2
8
¢
28¢
No
7
3
¢
73¢
R
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
2
8
%
28%
Yes
2
8
¢
28¢
No
7
3
¢
73¢
D
Donald Trump
2
8
%
28%
Yes
2
8
¢
28¢
No
7
3
¢
73¢
G
George Clooney
2
7
%
27%
Yes
2
7
¢
27¢
No
7
3
¢
73¢
D
Donald Trump Jr.
2
7
%
27%
Yes
2
7
¢
27¢
No
7
4
¢
74¢
S
Steve Bannon
2
6
%
26%
Yes
2
6
¢
26¢
No
7
4
¢
74¢
B
Beto O’Rourke
2
6
%
26%
Yes
2
6
¢
26¢
No
7
4
¢
74¢
T
Tulsi Gabbard
2
5
%
25%
Yes
2
5
¢
25¢
No
7
5
¢
75¢
B
Brian Kemp
2
5
%
25%
Yes
2
5
¢
25¢
No
7
5
¢
75¢
J
Josh Hawley
2
4
%
24%
Yes
2
4
¢
24¢
No
7
6
¢
76¢
M
Marjorie Taylor Greene
2
3
%
23%
Yes
2
3
¢
23¢
No
7
8
¢
78¢
T
Tucker Carlson
2
1
%
21%
Yes
2
1
¢
21¢
No
7
9
¢
79¢
J
John Fetterman
2
1
%
21%
Yes
2
1
¢
21¢
No
7
9
¢
79¢
L
Liz Cheney
2
1
%
21%
Yes
2
1
¢
21¢
No
7
9
¢
79¢
G
Gina Raimondo
2
0
%
20%
Yes
2
0
¢
20¢
No
8
0
¢
80¢
P
Phil Murphy
2
0
%
20%
Yes
2
0
¢
20¢
No
8
0
¢
80¢
S
Stephen A. Smith
1
9
%
19%
Yes
1
9
¢
19¢
No
8
2
¢
82¢
M
Mark Cuban
1
9
%
19%
Yes
1
9
¢
19¢
No
8
2
¢
82¢
E
Elise Stefanik
1
9
%
19%
Yes
1
9
¢
19¢
No
8
2
¢
82¢
O
Oprah Winfrey
1
8
%
18%
Yes
1
8
¢
18¢
No
8
2
¢
82¢
J
John Thune
1
8
%
18%
Yes
1
8
¢
18¢
No
8
3
¢
83¢
J
Jon Stewart
1
7
%
17%
Yes
1
7
¢
17¢
No
8
3
¢
83¢
E
Elon Musk
1
7
%
17%
Yes
1
7
¢
17¢
No
8
4
¢
84¢
M
Mike Pence
1
7
%
17%
Yes
1
7
¢
17¢
No
8
4
¢
84¢
B
Bernie Sanders
1
6
%
16%
Yes
1
6
¢
16¢
No
8
4
¢
84¢
D
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1
6
%
16%
Yes
1
6
¢
16¢
No
8
4
¢
84¢
M
Michelle Obama
1
6
%
16%
Yes
1
6
¢
16¢
No
8
5
¢
85¢
G
Greg Abbott
1
5
%
15%
Yes
1
5
¢
15¢
No
8
5
¢
85¢
H
Hunter Biden
1
4
%
14%
Yes
1
4
¢
14¢
No
8
6
¢
86¢
M
MrBeast
1
4
%
14%
Yes
1
4
¢
14¢
No
8
7
¢
87¢
T
Tom Brady
1
3
%
13%
Yes
1
3
¢
13¢
No
8
7
¢
87¢
K
Kim Kardashian
1
3
%
13%
Yes
1
3
¢
13¢
No
8
7
¢
87¢
Z
Zohran Mamdani
1
3
%
13%
Yes
1
3
¢
13¢
No
8
8
¢
88¢
R
Roy Cooper
1
2
%
12%
Yes
1
2
¢
12¢
No
8
8
¢
88¢
H
Hillary Clinton
1
1
%
11%
Yes
1
1
¢
11¢
No
9
0
¢
90¢
E
Erika Kirk
9
%
9%
Yes
9
¢
9¢
No
9
1
¢
91¢
B
Barack Obama
9
%
9%
Yes
9
¢
9¢
No
9
1
¢
91¢
T
Tim Walz
7
%
7%
Yes
7
¢
7¢
No
9
3
¢
93¢
C
Chelsea Clinton
4
%
4%
Yes
4
¢
4¢
No
9
6
¢
96¢
L
LeBron James
1
%
1%
Yes
1
¢
1¢
No
9
9
¢
99¢
About this market
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028? | Riff