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Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Closes Thu, Dec 31, 12:00 AM
Market history
Probability over time
Loading market history
None before 2027
4
8
%
48%
Yes
4
8
¢
48¢
No
5
2
¢
52¢
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1
5
%
15%
Yes
1
5
¢
15¢
No
8
5
¢
85¢
Chris Wright
1
0
%
10%
Yes
1
0
¢
10¢
No
9
0
¢
90¢
Susie Wiles
6
%
6%
Yes
6
¢
6¢
No
9
4
¢
94¢
Doug Burgum
6
%
6%
Yes
6
¢
6¢
No
9
4
¢
94¢
Russell T. Vought
5
%
5%
Yes
5
¢
5¢
No
9
5
¢
95¢
Pete Hegseth
4
%
4%
Yes
4
¢
4¢
No
9
6
¢
96¢
Scott Bessent
3
%
3%
Yes
3
¢
3¢
No
9
7
¢
97¢
Howard Lutnick
3
%
3%
Yes
3
¢
3¢
No
9
7
¢
97¢
Lee Zeldin
3
%
3%
Yes
3
¢
3¢
No
9
8
¢
98¢
J.D. Vance
2
%
2%
Yes
2
¢
2¢
No
9
8
¢
98¢
Kelly Loeffler
2
%
2%
Yes
2
¢
2¢
No
9
8
¢
98¢
Brooke Rollins
2
%
2%
Yes
2
¢
2¢
No
9
8
¢
98¢
Scott Turner
2
%
2%
Yes
2
¢
2¢
No
9
8
¢
98¢
Jamieson Greer
2
%
2%
Yes
2
¢
2¢
No
9
8
¢
98¢
Sean Duffy
1
%
1%
Yes
1
¢
1¢
No
9
9
¢
99¢
Marco Rubio
1
%
1%
Yes
1
¢
1¢
No
9
9
¢
99¢
John Ratcliffe
1
%
1%
Yes
1
¢
1¢
No
9
9
¢
99¢
Mike Waltz
1
%
1%
Yes
1
¢
1¢
No
9
9
¢
99¢
Linda McMahon
1
%
1%
Yes
1
¢
1¢
No
9
9
¢
99¢
Doug Collins
<1%
Yes
<1¢
No
1
0
0
¢
100¢
About this market
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet? | Riff