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US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
October 31
3
%
3%
November 2
1
4
%
14%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
October 31
<1%
December 31
9
%
9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Tak
1
3
%
13%
Nie
8
8
%
88%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
October 31
2
%
2%
November 2
8
%
8%
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?
↑ $160
2
%
2%
↑ $150
2
%
2%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
October 31
<1%
November 30
7
%
7%
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
October 31
1
%
1%
November 30
2
8
%
28%
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
7
1
%
71%
Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
2
8
%
28%
Crude Oil all time high by...?
December 31
1
7
%
17%
March 31, 2027
2
9
%
29%
US imports Russian diesel by...?
October 31
1
%
1%
November 2
2
%
2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
Tak
6
%
6%
Nie
9
4
%
94%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Tak
<1%
Nie
1
0
0
%
100%
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate
6
9
%
69%
Oil ≥ $85; R Senate
2
8
%
28%
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
7
3
%
73%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
2
6
%
26%
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
October 31
5
%
5%
November 30
3
7
%
37%
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
October
<1%
November
5
%
5%
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
Tak
4
%
4%
Nie
9
6
%
96%
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
7
3
%
73%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
2
5
%
25%
EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?
30M+
9
6
%
96%
31M+
9
5
%
95%
What will gas hit the week of October 26?
↑ $4.40
2
%
2%
↑ $4.38
1
7
%
17%
Will gas hit __ by end of October?
↑ $4.80
1
%
1%
↑ $4.70
2
%
2%
How many UKMTO notices October 26–November 1?
<4
1
%
1%
4-7
2
2
%
22%
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31?
10+
6
%
6%
20+
4
%
4%
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 26?
<20
1
6
%
16%
20-24
4
2
%
42%
