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Trade War
Fed Rates
Inflation
Macro Indicators
GDP
Global Rates
Taxes
Treasuries
Consumer
Housing
Labor
F
Fed rate hike by...?
S
September Meeting
4
6
%
46%
O
October Meeting
5
9
%
59%
A
August Inflation US - Annual
≤2.9%
<1%
3.0%
1
%
1%
C
Core PCE YoY - August 2026
≤3.0%
8
%
8%
3.1%
1
6
%
16%
W
Will gas hit __ by end of August?
↑ $5.00
1
%
1%
↑ $4.75
1
%
1%
I
India Annual Inflation 2026
<0.75%
3
%
3%
0.75% to 1.49%
<1%
C
Core CPI YoY - August 2026
≤2.0%
1
%
1%
2.1%
1
%
1%
A
Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
≤1.1%
1
%
1%
1.2-1.4%
8
%
8%
J
Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
≤1.9%
5
6
%
56%
2.0-2.4%
4
1
%
41%
H
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 4.5%
1
3
%
13%
Above 5%
7
%
7%
A
August Inflation US - Monthly
≤-0.3%
<1%
-0.2%
2
%
2%
U
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.4%
3
%
3%
C
Core PCE MoM - August 2026
≤-0.1%
9
%
9%
0.0%
1
0
%
10%
C
China Annual Inflation 2026
<-1.0%
3
%
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
<1%
C
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
<1.0%
1
%
1%
1.0–1.4%
5
%
5%
C
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
Yes
8
%
8%
No
9
3
%
93%
C
Core CPI MoM - August 2026
≤0.0%
9
%
9%
0.1%
1
9
%
19%
S
South Korea Annual Inflation 2026
<1.5%
6
%
6%
1.5% to 1.7%
6
%
6%
P
Price of Dozen Eggs in August?
<$1.80
<1%
$1.80–$1.90
<1%
W
Will gas hit __ by end of September?
↑ $4.50
4
2
%
42%
↑ $4.40
3
8
%
38%
P
PPI YoY - August 2026
≤4.2%
1
%
1%
4.3%
1
%
1%
A
August Inflation China - Annual
≤0.2%
2
%
2%
0.3% - 0.4%
9
%
9%
J
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
≤1.9%
4
0
%
40%
2.0-2.4%
6
0
%
60%
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
6
2
%
62%
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
3
4
%
34%
W
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$7.000+
4
8
%
48%
$8.000+
4
0
%
40%