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W
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
Yes
7
%
7%
No
9
3
%
93%
W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes
4
%
4%
No
9
6
%
96%
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
A
Alibaba
9
8
%
98%
M
Moonshot
2
%
2%
W
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Y
YMTC
1
8
%
18%
T
Tencent
1
8
%
18%
W
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
September 15
<1%
September 30
9
2
%
92%
W
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Yes
1
%
1%
No
9
9
%
99%
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Yes
7
%
7%
No
9
3
%
93%
W
Where will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall?
China
9
9
%
99%
Japan
2
%
2%
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
M
Moonshot
4
1
%
41%
Z
Z.ai
2
8
%
28%
C
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Yes
7
%
7%
No
9
4
%
94%
U
US x China Military clash before 2027?
Yes
5
%
5%
No
9
5
%
95%
W
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Yes
1
2
%
12%
No
8
9
%
89%
W
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?
December 31
5
5
%
55%
September 30
3
%
3%
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
Yes
8
9
%
89%
No
1
1
%
11%
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
M
Moonshot
9
6
%
96%
Z
Z.ai
4
%
4%
Z
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Yes
1
0
%
10%
No
9
1
%
91%
C
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
<3.4%
<1%
3.4-3.7%
<1%
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
A
Alibaba
7
1
%
71%
M
Moonshot
1
7
%
17%
U
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?
Yes
1
4
%
14%
No
8
6
%
86%
W
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
Dong Jun
9
%
9%
Cai Qi
6
%
6%
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
#1
1
0
%
10%
#3
3
7
%
37%
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
M
Moonshot
5
3
%
53%
A
Alibaba
2
2
%
22%
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Z
Z.ai
9
6
%
96%
M
Moonshot
3
%
3%
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Z
Z.ai
3
3
%
33%
M
Moonshot
2
4
%
24%