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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Da
2
%
2%
Nu
9
8
%
98%
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
CATL
2
1
%
21%
CXMT
1
9
%
19%
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Xiaomi
9
5
%
95%
Moonshot
2
%
2%
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Moonshot
9
0
%
90%
Alibaba
4
%
4%
Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
Alibaba
4
4
%
44%
Xiaomi
3
5
%
35%
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Alibaba
9
0
%
90%
Moonshot
4
%
4%
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Da
2
0
%
20%
Nu
8
1
%
81%
October Inflation China - Annual
≤0.6%
1
7
%
17%
0.7% to 0.8%
4
5
%
45%
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Da
4
%
4%
Nu
9
6
%
96%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Da
5
%
5%
Nu
9
5
%
95%
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
Da
1
5
%
15%
Nu
8
5
%
85%
Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026?
Da
1
7
%
17%
Nu
8
3
%
83%
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?
<3.4%
<1%
3.4-3.7%
<1%
US imposes new sanctions on China by...?
October 31, 2026
4
%
4%
November 30
5
1
%
51%
China Annual Inflation 2026
<-1.0%
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
<1%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Da
5
%
5%
Nu
9
6
%
96%
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Da
2
%
2%
Nu
9
8
%
98%
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
#1
6
%
6%
#3
2
1
%
21%
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
Da
4
%
4%
Nu
9
6
%
96%
Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?
December 31
9
7
%
97%
October 31
1
%
1%
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?
Moonshot
3
6
%
36%
Alibaba
2
1
%
21%
Best Chinese AI Company end of December?
Xiaomi
3
8
%
38%
Alibaba
3
7
%
37%
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
Da
1
6
%
16%
Nu
8
4
%
84%
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
Xiaomi
3
3
%
33%
Alibaba
3
2
%
32%
