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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | Riff

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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Closes Thu, Dec 31, 12:00 AM

Market history

Probability over time

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0 (0 bps)

88%

1 (25 bps)

9%

2 (50 bps)

3%

3 (75 bps)

1%

4 (100 bps)

<1%

5 (125 bps)

<1%

6 (150 bps)

<1%

7 (175 bps)

<1%

8 (200 bps)

<1%

9 (225 bps)

<1%

10 (250 bps)

<1%

11 (275 bps)

<1%

12+ (300+ bps)

<1%