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How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
Closes Fri, Jan 01, 4:59 AM
Market history
Probability over time
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0
5
4
%
54%
Yes
5
4
¢
54¢
No
6
4
¢
64¢
1
4
3
%
43%
Yes
4
3
¢
43¢
No
5
7
¢
57¢
2
4
%
4%
Yes
4
¢
4¢
No
9
6
¢
96¢
3
1
%
1%
Yes
1
¢
1¢
No
9
9
¢
99¢
4
1
%
1%
Yes
1
¢
1¢
No
9
9
¢
99¢
5+
1
%
1%
Yes
1
¢
1¢
No
9
9
¢
99¢
About this market
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026? | Riff