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Trade War
Fed Rates
Inflation
Macro Indicators
GDP
Global Rates
Taxes
Treasuries
Consumer
Housing
Labor
F
Fed Decision in September?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
1
%
1%
L
Largest Company end of August?
N
NVIDIA
9
8
%
98%
A
Apple
2
%
2%
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
8
5
%
85%
1 (25 bps)
1
1
%
11%
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes
4
4
%
44%
No
5
6
%
56%
L
Largest Company end of September?
N
NVIDIA
9
1
%
91%
A
Apple
7
%
7%
L
Largest Company end of December 2026?
N
NVIDIA
7
6
%
76%
A
Apple
1
4
%
14%
F
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes
4
7
%
47%
No
5
4
%
54%
F
Fed rate hike by...?
S
September Meeting
2
4
%
24%
O
October Meeting
3
9
%
39%
F
Fed Decision in October?
50+ bps decrease
2
%
2%
25 bps decrease
5
%
5%
C
Core PCE YoY - July 2026
≤3.0%
<1%
3.1%
<1%
F
Fed Decision in December?
50+ bps decrease
1
%
1%
25 bps decrease
7
%
7%
H
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 4.5%
1
7
%
17%
Above 5%
8
%
8%
F
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Pause–Pause–Pause
7
6
%
76%
Pause–Pause–Cut
1
%
1%
3
3rd Largest Company end of August?
A
Alphabet
8
1
%
81%
A
Apple
1
6
%
16%
B
Bank of Brazil decision in November?
50+ bps increase
<1%
25 bps increase
<1%
2
2nd Largest Company end of September?
A
Apple
5
5
%
55%
A
Alphabet
3
5
%
35%
B
Bank of Japan Decision in September?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
J
Japan GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
<-2.4%
<1%
-2.4%– -1.6%
<1%
W
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Yes
3
%
3%
No
9
7
%
97%
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
6
0
%
60%
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
3
8
%
38%
2
2nd Largest Company end of August?
A
Apple
8
1
%
81%
A
Alphabet
1
8
%
18%
B
Bank of Mexico Decision in September?
50+ bps decrease
1
%
1%
25 bps decrease
6
%
6%
E
ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
