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Trade War
Fed Rates
Inflation
Macro Indicators
GDP
Global Rates
Taxes
Treasuries
Consumer
Housing
Labor
Fed Decision in October?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
Fed Decision in December?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
1
%
1%
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes
8
2
%
82%
No
1
9
%
19%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
9
7
%
97%
1 (25 bps)
2
%
2%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes
2
0
%
20%
No
8
1
%
81%
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
8
0
%
80%
Apple
1
4
%
14%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.3%
9
2
%
92%
5.4%
7
8
%
78%
Fed Decision in January?
50+ bps decrease
1
%
1%
25 bps decrease
2
%
2%
USD x Iranian rials End of December?
<2.0M
1
4
%
14%
2.0 - 2.5M
2
0
%
20%
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?
Yes
6
6
%
66%
No
3
5
%
35%
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.10%
8
7
%
87%
5.25%
5
1
%
51%
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike
4
8
%
48%
Hike–Pause–Pause
1
7
%
17%
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.65%
9
1
%
91%
5.70%
8
2
%
82%
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.00%
2
%
2%
Below 4.10%
3
%
3%
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
50+ bps increase
<1%
25 bps increase
3
6
%
36%
Central Bank of Colombia decision in October
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
1
%
1%
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?
October 31
3
%
3%
December 31
1
6
%
16%
Fed rate cut by...?
October 2026 Meeting
1
%
1%
December 2026 Meeting
3
%
3%
USD x Iranian rials End of October?
<2.3M
8
%
8%
2.3-2.4M
7
%
7%
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Yes
2
%
2%
No
9
8
%
98%
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
<3.4%
1
%
1%
3.4-3.7%
<1%
Will Argentina dollarize by...?
December 31, 2026
3
%
3%
