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Trade War
Fed Rates
Inflation
Macro Indicators
GDP
Global Rates
Taxes
Treasuries
Consumer
Housing
Labor
F
Fed Decision in October?
50+ bps decrease
2
%
2%
25 bps decrease
5
%
5%
C
Core PCE YoY - July 2026
≤3.0%
<1%
3.1%
<1%
F
Fed Decision in December?
50+ bps decrease
1
%
1%
25 bps decrease
7
%
7%
H
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 4.5%
1
7
%
17%
Above 5%
8
%
8%
B
Bank of Brazil decision in November?
50+ bps increase
<1%
25 bps increase
<1%
B
Bank of Mexico Decision in September?
50+ bps decrease
1
%
1%
25 bps decrease
6
%
6%
E
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
C
Core PCE MoM - July 2026
≤-0.2%
<1%
-0.1%
<1%
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 5.5%
3
%
3%
↑ 5.25%
3
%
3%
E
ECB Interest Rates: September 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
I
ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026
<51.0
1
%
1%
51.0–51.9
1
%
1%
U
UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
Negative
1
7
%
17%
0.0–0.1%
2
8
%
28%
U
US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
<0.5%
4
%
4%
0.5–1.0%
5
%
5%
P
Price of Dozen Eggs in August?
<$1.80
1
%
1%
$1.80–$1.90
1
%
1%
A
Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
≤1.1%
1
%
1%
1.2-1.4%
1
%
1%
B
Bank of Russia decision in September?
Decrease
3
8
%
38%
No Change
6
3
%
63%
B
Bank of England decision in November?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
F
Fed Decision in January?
50+ bps decrease
5
%
5%
25 bps decrease
1
4
%
14%
B
Bank of England decision in September?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
1
%
1%
C
Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)
<0.0%
4
%
4%
0.0-0.1%
1
5
%
15%
M
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
<2.50%
1
%
1%
2.50% to 2.99%
5
%
5%
C
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
<3.4%
<1%
3.4-3.7%
<1%
E
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
<1.0%
8
%
8%
1.0–1.2%
6
%
6%
