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W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
September 30
2
%
2%
December 31
5
%
5%
L
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
S
SpaceX
6
2
%
62%
A
Anthropic
3
9
%
39%
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
August 22
<1%
August 31
1
0
%
10%
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1
7
0
%
70%
2
2
8
%
28%
M
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑3.5k
9
3
%
93%
↑4.5k
5
4
%
54%
W
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
December 31, 2026
4
%
4%
June 30, 2027
5
4
%
54%
H
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16?
0
<1%
1
<1%
P
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
<425mm
3
5
%
35%
425-450mm
1
2
%
12%
A
August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)
<1.30ºC
5
%
5%
1.30–1.33ºC
1
2
%
12%
F
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 32, 2026?
<0.1
7
8
%
78%
0.1
1
4
%
14%
M
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
Yes
6
%
6%
No
9
4
%
94%
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
8–10
1
%
1%
11–13
1
0
%
10%
H
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?
0
4
6
%
46%
1
3
5
%
35%
N
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
Yes
4
%
4%
No
9
6
%
96%
N
New pandemic in 2026?
Yes
6
%
6%
No
9
5
%
95%
1
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Yes
1
%
1%
No
9
9
%
99%
H
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
<40
3
%
3%
40–59
9
%
9%
N
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Yes
2
3
%
23%
No
7
8
%
78%
M
Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
2600+
9
8
%
98%
2650+
9
6
%
96%
W
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Yes
1
2
%
12%
No
8
8
%
88%
9
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Yes
7
%
7%
No
9
3
%
93%
F
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
October 31, 2026
9
%
9%
December 31, 2026
2
2
%
22%
H
How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?
<13
3
%
3%
13
3
5
%
35%
W
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?
Yes
9
7
%
97%
No
3
%
3%
