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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
October 31
1
%
1%
November 30
7
%
7%
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
October 31
<1%
November 15
5
%
5%
US imports Russian diesel by...?
October 31
1
%
1%
November 2
2
%
2%
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
December 31, 2026
2
%
2%
March 31, 2027
6
%
6%
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
Ano
<1%
Ne
1
0
0
%
100%
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China
8
0
%
80%
No meeting by December 31
1
7
%
17%
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
October 31
1
%
1%
November 30
7
6
%
76%
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?
October 31
<1%
December 31
7
%
7%
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 28
2
%
2%
October 31
8
5
%
85%
Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?
UAE
7
1
%
71%
Switzerland
7
%
7%
Elon Musk meets with Putin by...?
December 31
4
%
4%
March 31
1
7
%
17%
Trump meets with Putin by...?
October 31
<1%
November 30
8
1
%
81%
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
December 31
1
2
%
12%
Will Russia invade another country by...?
December 31, 2026
5
%
5%
December 31, 2027
1
9
%
19%
Russia military action against EU country by...?
December 31, 2026
9
%
9%
December 31, 2027
2
2
%
22%
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by...?
March 31, 2027
1
9
%
19%
June 30, 2027
2
2
%
22%
Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?
October 31, 2026
1
%
1%
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?
No meeting by December 31, 2027
7
1
%
71%
United States
5
%
5%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
December 31, 2026
6
%
6%
June 30, 2027
2
3
%
23%
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?
November 30
4
6
%
46%
December 31
6
7
%
67%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
December 31
3
%
3%
June 30, 2027
7
%
7%
Plague declared public health emergency by...?
November 30
2
%
2%
December 31
2
%
2%
NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?
Ano
3
3
%
33%
Ne
6
7
%
67%
Bank of Russia decision in December?
50+ bps decrease
2
%
2%
25 bps decrease
2
4
%
24%
