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U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
August 31
1
%
1%
September 7
5
%
5%
W
Who will Trump publicly praise in August?
J
Jon Rahm
4
3
%
43%
B
Bryson DeChambeau
4
0
%
40%
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 31
9
9
%
99%
September 15
9
0
%
90%
T
Trump out as President by August 31?
Yes
<1%
No
1
0
0
%
100%
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes
1
3
%
13%
No
8
8
%
88%
W
Who will Trump meet with in August?
E
Elon Musk
1
%
1%
B
Benjamin Netanyahu
<1%
N
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
A
August 31
1
%
1%
O
October 31
1
4
%
14%
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
A
August 31
4
%
4%
S
September 7
1
0
%
10%
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
August 31, 2026
<1%
September 30, 2026
1
4
%
14%
F
Fed Decision in October?
50+ bps decrease
1
%
1%
25 bps decrease
3
%
3%
C
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes
1
4
%
14%
No
8
7
%
87%
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
August 31
<1%
October 31
8
%
8%
F
Fed Decision in December?
50+ bps decrease
1
%
1%
25 bps decrease
5
%
5%
W
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Y
YMTC
1
8
%
18%
T
Tencent
1
8
%
18%
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro
8
4
%
84%
Delcy Rodríguez
1
0
%
10%
T
Trump out as President before 2027?
Yes
7
%
7%
No
9
4
%
94%
I
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
August 31
<1%
October 31
2
%
2%
W
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
September 15
<1%
September 30
9
2
%
92%
U
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
August 31
<1%
September 30
1
%
1%
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 30
8
5
%
85%
Switzerland
8
%
8%
U
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 31
1
%
1%
W
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
N
No meeting by December 31
5
2
%
52%
C
China
4
1
%
41%
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?
X
Xi Jinping
9
6
%
96%
A
Andy Burnham
9
2
%
92%
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
J
Jared Kushner
3
4
%
34%
A
Abbas Araghchi
3
4
%
34%