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Fed Decision in December?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
1
%
1%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 28
1
0
0
%
100%
October 31
9
7
%
97%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
October 31
3
%
3%
November 2
1
0
%
10%
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Igen
6
%
6%
Nem
9
5
%
95%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
October 31
2
%
2%
November 2
8
%
8%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Igen
9
1
%
91%
Nem
1
0
%
10%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Igen
1
8
%
18%
Nem
8
3
%
83%
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro
8
4
%
84%
Delcy Rodríguez
1
4
%
14%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Igen
9
9
%
99%
Nem
1
%
1%
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
October 31
<1%
December 31
1
4
%
14%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
October 31
<1%
December 31
6
%
6%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Igen
3
3
%
33%
Nem
6
8
%
68%
Fed Decision in January?
50+ bps decrease
1
%
1%
25 bps decrease
2
%
2%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
October 31
<1%
November 30
7
%
7%
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?
December 31
2
2
%
22%
Next Press Secretary announced by...?
October 31
<1%
November 30
3
6
%
36%
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
October 31
<1%
November 15
5
%
5%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Igen
3
%
3%
Nem
9
7
%
97%
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
Igen
1
%
1%
Nem
1
0
0
%
100%
Who will Trump meet with by November 30?
Kim Jong Un
8
%
8%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
1
2
%
12%
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
CXMT
2
1
%
21%
CATL
2
1
%
21%
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
October 31
1
%
1%
November 30
1
8
%
18%
