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Epstein
Fed Decision in December?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
1
%
1%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 28
9
9
%
99%
October 31
9
7
%
97%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
October 31
3
%
3%
November 2
9
%
9%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Tak
6
%
6%
Nie
9
5
%
95%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Tak
9
9
%
99%
Nie
1
%
1%
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
October 31
2
%
2%
November 2
7
%
7%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Tak
9
0
%
90%
Nie
1
1
%
11%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Tak
1
8
%
18%
Nie
8
3
%
83%
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro
8
4
%
84%
Delcy Rodríguez
1
4
%
14%
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
October 31
<1%
December 31
1
4
%
14%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
October 31
<1%
December 31
6
%
6%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Tak
3
3
%
33%
Nie
6
8
%
68%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
October 31
1
%
1%
November 30
7
%
7%
Fed Decision in January?
50+ bps decrease
1
%
1%
25 bps decrease
1
%
1%
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?
December 31
2
3
%
23%
Next Press Secretary announced by...?
October 31
<1%
November 30
3
6
%
36%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Tak
3
%
3%
Nie
9
7
%
97%
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.9%
9
3
%
93%
Below 4.8%
7
9
%
79%
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
Tak
1
%
1%
Nie
1
0
0
%
100%
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
October 31
<1%
November 15
5
%
5%
US imports Russian diesel by...?
October 31
1
%
1%
November 2
2
%
2%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31
3
%
3%
