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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes
3
%
3%
No
9
7
%
97%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Yes
1
3
%
13%
No
8
8
%
88%
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Xiaomi
3
6
%
36%
Alibaba
3
0
%
30%
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
Alibaba
2
4
%
24%
Moonshot
2
3
%
23%
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
Yes
7
4
%
74%
No
2
6
%
26%
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Yes
2
%
2%
No
9
8
%
98%
Jimmy Lai released by...?
December 31, 2026
5
%
5%
Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?
December 31
9
3
%
93%
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
<3.4%
1
%
1%
3.4-3.7%
<1%
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Yes
2
7
%
27%
No
7
3
%
73%
Lai Ching-te visits US by...?
December 31
1
2
%
12%
June 30
3
4
%
34%
September Inflation China - Annual
≤0.4%
1
%
1%
0.5% to 0.6%
4
%
4%
China Annual Inflation 2026
<-1.0%
4
%
4%
-0.9 – -0.5%
5
%
5%
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
#1
9
%
9%
#3
1
4
%
14%
Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
Alibaba
3
8
%
38%
Xiaomi
2
0
%
20%
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Alibaba
4
7
%
47%
Xiaomi
1
6
%
16%
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Moonshot
2
8
%
28%
Z.ai
2
5
%
25%
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
Yes
3
%
3%
No
9
7
%
97%
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–2.0%
<1%
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
CATL
3
6
%
36%
Alibaba
1
8
%
18%
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?
Alibaba
3
2
%
32%
Xiaomi
2
4
%
24%
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
Yes
1
6
%
16%
No
8
5
%
85%
Will Trump visit any pandas in 2026?
Yes
5
%
5%
No
9
5
%
95%
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
Yes
7
%
7%
No
9
3
%
93%
