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B
Brazil Presidential Election
L
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
6
7
%
67%
F
Flávio Bolsonaro
2
9
%
29%
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
August 22
6
%
6%
August 31
1
6
%
16%
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028
J
JD Vance
2
3
%
23%
A
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
1
3
%
13%
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 30
6
9
%
69%
Switzerland
1
1
%
11%
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
August 15
<1%
August 31
1
%
1%
E
Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?
120-139
1
%
1%
140-159
1
5
%
15%
F
Fed Decision in September?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
1
%
1%
F
Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner
B
Byron Donalds
9
9
%
99%
J
James Fishback
1
%
1%
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J
J.D. Vance
4
7
%
47%
M
Marco Rubio
2
3
%
23%
W
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
U
United Russia (ER)
7
3
%
73%
N
New People (NL)
1
9
%
19%
D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
A
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
2
0
%
20%
G
Gavin Newsom
1
7
%
17%
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Yes
1
3
%
13%
No
8
8
%
88%
E
Elon Musk # tweets August 15 - August 17, 2026?
<40
5
1
%
51%
40-64
4
7
%
47%
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
F
Flávio Bolsonaro
8
6
%
86%
L
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
7
%
7%
N
Next French Presidential Election
M
Marine Le Pen
3
2
%
32%
É
Édouard Philippe
2
6
%
26%
E
Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
I
Iran leadership change by...?
August 22
<1%
August 31
1
%
1%
P
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
August 31, 2026
1
%
1%
September 30, 2026
2
%
2%
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
J
Jared Kushner
7
2
%
72%
S
Steve Witkoff
7
0
%
70%
T
Trump out as President before 2027?
Yes
6
%
6%
No
9
5
%
95%
