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U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
August 22
6
%
6%
August 31
1
6
%
16%
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 30
6
8
%
68%
Switzerland
1
1
%
11%
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
August 15
<1%
August 31
1
%
1%
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 15
1
0
0
%
100%
August 31
9
6
%
96%
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
August 18
<1%
August 31
1
%
1%
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Yes
1
1
%
11%
No
9
0
%
90%
I
Iran leadership change by...?
August 22
<1%
August 31
1
%
1%
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
J
Jared Kushner
7
2
%
72%
S
Steve Witkoff
7
0
%
70%
U
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes
4
%
4%
No
9
6
%
96%
I
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei
8
2
%
82%
No Head of State
5
%
5%
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
A
August 15
<1%
A
August 22
1
5
%
15%
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes
4
4
%
44%
No
5
6
%
56%
I
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
August 31
1
%
1%
October 31
1
6
%
16%
I
Iran full airspace closure by...?
August 31
6
%
6%
September 30
1
4
%
14%
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes
1
7
%
17%
No
8
4
%
84%
I
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
August 15
5
%
5%
August 16
9
%
9%
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
I
Iran Reconstruction Funding
2
5
%
25%
U
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)
1
7
%
17%
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes
7
%
7%
No
9
4
%
94%
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Yes
2
%
2%
No
9
8
%
98%
