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Fed Rates
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Macro Indicators
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Global Rates
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Treasuries
Consumer
Housing
Labor
Core CPI YoY - October 2026
≤2.2%
1
%
1%
2.3%
1
%
1%
October Inflation China - Annual
≤0.6%
1
6
%
16%
0.7% to 0.8%
4
5
%
45%
PPI YoY - October 2026
≤5.9%
3
%
3%
6.0%
3
%
3%
October Inflation US - Annual
≤3.2%
<1%
3.3%
<1%
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 4.5%
1
4
%
14%
Above 5%
8
%
8%
What will gas hit the week of October 26?
↑ $4.40
2
%
2%
↑ $4.38
1
7
%
17%
Will gas hit __ by end of October?
↑ $4.80
1
%
1%
↑ $4.70
2
%
2%
October Inflation US - Monthly
≤0.1%
1
2
%
12%
0.2%
2
8
%
28%
Core CPI MoM - October 2026
≤0.0%
1
5
%
15%
0.1%
6
%
6%
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
<3.00%
<1%
3.00-3.49%
<1%
Price of Dozen Eggs in October?
<$1.90
1
%
1%
$1.90 to $2.00
2
%
2%
China Annual Inflation 2026
<-1.0%
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
<1%
Gas prices on October 31?
<$4.1800
1
%
1%
$4.1800-4.1899
9
9
%
99%
Core PCE MoM - October 2026
≤0.0%
2
3
%
23%
0.1%
2
0
%
20%
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
<1.0%
1
%
1%
1.0–1.4%
2
%
2%
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
<1.0%
3
%
3%
1.0–1.4%
2
%
2%
Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
≤1.9%
5
8
%
58%
2.0-2.4%
4
2
%
42%
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
<20%
1
%
1%
20-24.9%
1
%
1%
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
9
5
%
95%
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
3
%
3%
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
<2.6%
<1%
2.6-2.9%
1
%
1%
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
<2.50%
<1%
2.50% to 2.99%
2
%
2%
South Korea Annual Inflation 2026
<1.5%
2
%
2%
1.5% to 1.7%
6
%
6%
Argentina Monthly Inflation - October
≤1.2%
<1%
1.3 to 1.5%
4
%
4%
Core PCE YoY - October 2026
≤2.8%
2
8
%
28%
2.9%
2
8
%
28%
