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Fed Rates
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Global Rates
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Consumer
Housing
Labor
Fed Decision in December?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
1
%
1%
Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple
1
0
0
%
100%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Áno
1
2
%
12%
Nie
8
9
%
89%
Bank of Canada Decision in December?
50+ bps increase
<1%
25 bps increase
3
9
%
39%
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
5
5
%
55%
Apple
4
4
%
44%
Fed Decision in January?
50+ bps decrease
1
%
1%
25 bps decrease
2
%
2%
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
9
7
%
97%
1 (25 bps)
1
%
1%
USD x Iranian rials End of October?
<2.3M
<1%
2.3-2.4M
<1%
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA
9
6
%
96%
Apple
4
%
4%
Fed Decision in March?
50+ bps decrease
2
%
2%
25 bps decrease
4
%
4%
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Áno
7
2
%
72%
Nie
2
8
%
28%
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Pause-Hike
9
%
9%
Pause-Pause-Pause
1
6
%
16%
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Microsoft
6
6
%
66%
Alphabet
1
3
%
13%
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
3rd Largest Company end of October?
Microsoft
1
0
0
%
100%
NVIDIA
<1%
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
<0%
1
%
1%
0-1.0%
3
1
%
31%
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
1
6
%
16%
US recession by end of 2026?
Áno
7
%
7%
Nie
9
4
%
94%
What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on December 31?
<$1.115M
5
3
%
53%
$1.115M - $1.126M
3
4
%
34%
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.00%
3
%
3%
Below 4.10%
7
%
7%
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.90%
4
8
%
48%
5.00%
3
9
%
39%
Fed rate cut by...?
December 2026 Meeting
1
%
1%
January 2027 Meeting
1
0
%
10%
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike
7
2
%
72%
Hike–Pause–Pause
2
8
%
28%
What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?
<$403K
7
%
7%
$403K - $407K
4
3
%
43%
