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Fed Rates
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Macro Indicators
GDP
Global Rates
Taxes
Treasuries
Consumer
Housing
Labor
Fed Decision in December?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
1
%
1%
Fed Decision in January?
50+ bps decrease
1
%
1%
25 bps decrease
2
%
2%
Fed Decision in March?
50+ bps decrease
2
%
2%
25 bps decrease
4
%
4%
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
<0%
1
%
1%
0-1.0%
3
2
%
32%
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
1
6
%
16%
ECB Interest Rates: February 2027
50+ bps decrease
4
%
4%
25 bps decrease
2
%
2%
Core CPI YoY - October 2026
≤2.2%
1
%
1%
2.3%
1
%
1%
October Inflation China - Annual
≤0.6%
1
6
%
16%
0.7% to 0.8%
4
5
%
45%
PPI YoY - October 2026
≤5.9%
3
%
3%
6.0%
3
%
3%
US GDP growth in Q4 2026?
<1.5%
1
7
%
17%
1.5% to 2.0%
5
%
5%
October Inflation US - Annual
≤3.2%
<1%
3.3%
<1%
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 4.5%
1
4
%
14%
Above 5%
8
%
8%
Bank of England Decision in March?
50+ bps decrease
6
%
6%
25 bps decrease
6
%
6%
Bank of Brazil decision in November?
50+ bps increase
<1%
25 bps increase
<1%
Fed Decision in April?
50+ bps decrease
9
%
9%
25 bps decrease
1
0
%
10%
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 5.5%
2
%
2%
↑ 5.25%
2
%
2%
How many jobs added in October?
<-25k
4
%
4%
-25k to 0
9
%
9%
ISM Manufacturing PMI - October 2026
<51.0
<1%
51.0 to 51.9
1
%
1%
JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026
<6.8M
1
1
%
11%
6.8M to 6.9M
4
%
4%
Bank of England Decision in February?
50+ bps decrease
3
%
3%
25 bps decrease
2
%
2%
Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
<2.0%
2
%
2%
2.0-2.2%
1
%
1%
Bank of England decision in December?
50+ bps decrease
1
%
1%
25 bps decrease
1
%
1%
2026 World GDP Growth
≤2.9%
3
%
3%
3.0%
1
9
%
19%
How many US births in 2026?
<3.50M
5
%
5%
3.50M–3.53M
7
%
7%
