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Gov Shutdown
W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
D
Democratic Party
5
1
%
51%
R
Republican Party
5
1
%
51%
M
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Yes
1
3
%
13%
No
8
8
%
88%
H
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
<5
1
%
1%
5
<1%
W
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Mike Lee
2
4
%
24%
Catherine Cortez Masto
1
4
%
14%
H
How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?
<20
2
%
2%
20–23
9
4
%
94%
H
How many Republican House members not running in 2026?
<24
1
%
1%
24–27
<1%
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
Yes
3
%
3%
No
9
7
%
97%
H
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Above 50
4
0
%
40%
Above 55
3
6
%
36%
M
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
September 30, 2026
1
%
1%
December 31, 2026
1
2
%
12%
R
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
L
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
Yes
8
%
8%
No
9
2
%
92%
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?
Yes
4
5
%
45%
No
5
6
%
56%
G
Government shutdown by October 1?
Yes
8
%
8%
No
9
2
%
92%
2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout
<85m
1
%
1%
85-90m
<1%
K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
Yes
3
%
3%
No
9
7
%
97%
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
Shutdown & Democratic Party
8
6
%
86%
Shutdown & Republican Party
1
3
%
13%
W
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
Yes
3
%
3%
No
9
7
%
97%
W
Which bills will become law in 2026?
Export-control chip security
3
1
%
31%
AI-chip export licensing
2
3
%
23%
C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
Yes
3
1
%
31%
No
7
0
%
70%
A
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
Not Extended & Democratic Party
8
9
%
89%
Not Extended & Republican Party
1
2
%
12%
2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
D
Democrats 16%+
1
%
1%
D
Democrats 14-16%
<1%
W
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Yes
6
8
%
68%
No
3
3
%
33%
W
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?
Yes
1
4
%
14%
No
8
6
%
86%
W
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?
Yes
5
5
%
55%
No
4
5
%
45%