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Previous slide
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Fed Decision in October?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
↑ 100,000
<1%
↑ 97,500
<1%
What price will Ethereum hit in September?
↑ 4,000
<1%
↑ 3,300
<1%
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
2
1
%
21%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
1
3
%
13%
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot
4
8
%
48%
Benjamin Netanyahu
3
3
%
33%
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Barcelona
2
4
%
24%
Bayern Munich
1
4
%
14%
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro
6
2
%
62%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
3
9
%
39%
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen
4
3
%
43%
Édouard Philippe
2
0
%
20%
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Lamine Yamal
4
5
%
45%
Harry Kane
4
2
%
42%
Bitcoin above ___ on October 1?
74,000
1
0
0
%
100%
76,000
1
0
0
%
100%
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google
7
3
%
73%
Anthropic
2
1
%
21%
EPL: 2027 Champion
Arsenal
6
1
%
61%
Manchester City
2
2
%
22%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 31
7
9
%
79%
November 30
6
6
%
66%
Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?
140-159
<1%
160-179
3
%
3%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 7
9
0
%
90%
October 15
7
4
%
74%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
1
6
%
16%
Gavin Newsom
1
6
%
16%
What price will Bitcoin hit September 28-October 4?
↑ 98,000
1
%
1%
↑ 96,000
1
%
1%
Fed Decision in December?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
1
%
1%
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 30?
↑ 91,000
<1%
↑ 90,000
<1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
September 30
<1%
October 15
1
2
%
12%
Gemini 4.0 released by...?
September 30
<1%
October 2
1
7
%
17%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic
5
6
%
56%
Google
3
7
%
37%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
5
0
%
50%
Marco Rubio
1
5
%
15%
MLB World Series Champion 2026
Los Angeles Dodgers
3
0
%
30%
Milwaukee Brewers
1
7
%
17%
Fed Decision in October?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
↑ 100,000
<1%
↑ 97,500
<1%
What price will Ethereum hit in September?
↑ 4,000
<1%
↑ 3,300
<1%
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance
2
1
%
21%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
1
3
%
13%
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot
4
8
%
48%
Benjamin Netanyahu
3
3
%
33%
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Barcelona
2
4
%
24%
Bayern Munich
1
4
%
14%
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro
6
2
%
62%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
3
9
%
39%
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen
4
3
%
43%
Édouard Philippe
2
0
%
20%
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Lamine Yamal
4
5
%
45%
Harry Kane
4
2
%
42%
Bitcoin above ___ on October 1?
74,000
1
0
0
%
100%
76,000
1
0
0
%
100%
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google
7
3
%
73%
Anthropic
2
1
%
21%
EPL: 2027 Champion
Arsenal
6
1
%
61%
Manchester City
2
2
%
22%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 31
7
9
%
79%
November 30
6
6
%
66%
Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?
140-159
<1%
160-179
3
%
3%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 7
9
0
%
90%
October 15
7
4
%
74%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
1
6
%
16%
Gavin Newsom
1
6
%
16%
What price will Bitcoin hit September 28-October 4?
↑ 98,000
1
%
1%
↑ 96,000
1
%
1%
Fed Decision in December?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
1
%
1%
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 30?
↑ 91,000
<1%
↑ 90,000
<1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
September 30
<1%
October 15
1
2
%
12%
Gemini 4.0 released by...?
September 30
<1%
October 2
1
7
%
17%
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic
5
6
%
56%
Google
3
7
%
37%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance
5
0
%
50%
Marco Rubio
1
5
%
15%
MLB World Series Champion 2026
Los Angeles Dodgers
3
0
%
30%
Milwaukee Brewers
1
7
%
17%