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Trade War
Fed Rates
Inflation
Macro Indicators
GDP
Global Rates
Taxes
Treasuries
Consumer
Housing
Labor
F
Fed rate hike by...?
S
September Meeting
2
4
%
24%
O
October Meeting
3
9
%
39%
C
Core PCE YoY - July 2026
≤3.0%
<1%
3.1%
<1%
H
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 4.5%
1
7
%
17%
Above 5%
8
%
8%
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
6
0
%
60%
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
3
8
%
38%
C
Core PCE MoM - July 2026
≤-0.2%
<1%
-0.1%
<1%
P
Price of Dozen Eggs in August?
<$1.80
1
%
1%
$1.80–$1.90
1
%
1%
A
Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
≤1.1%
1
%
1%
1.2-1.4%
1
%
1%
B
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
<3.00%
1
%
1%
3.00-3.49%
1
%
1%
P
PPI YoY - August 2026
≤4.2%
3
%
3%
4.3%
5
%
5%
M
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
<2.50%
1
%
1%
2.50% to 2.99%
5
%
5%
E
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
<1.0%
8
%
8%
1.0–1.2%
6
%
6%
A
August Inflation US - Annual
≤2.9%
2
%
2%
3.0%
4
%
4%
C
Core CPI MoM - August 2026
≤0.0%
6
%
6%
0.1%
1
9
%
19%
U
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.4%
4
%
4%
A
August Inflation US - Monthly
≤-0.3%
1
%
1%
-0.2%
4
%
4%
A
August Inflation China - Annual
≤0.2%
6
%
6%
0.3% - 0.4%
1
1
%
11%
C
China Annual Inflation 2026
<-1.0%
3
%
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
2
%
2%
J
Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
≤1.9%
4
9
%
49%
2.0-2.4%
4
7
%
47%
W
Will gas hit __ by end of August?
↑ $5.00
4
%
4%
↑ $4.75
8
%
8%
J
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
≤1.9%
4
7
%
47%
2.0-2.4%
5
4
%
54%
C
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
<1.0%
3
%
3%
1.0–1.4%
6
%
6%
C
Core CPI YoY - August 2026
≤2.0%
1
%
1%
2.1%
1
%
1%
W
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$7.000+
4
4
%
44%
$8.000+
5
1
%
51%
I
India Annual Inflation 2026
<0.75%
4
%
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
<1%
