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Epstein
Fed Decision in October?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 7
9
1
%
91%
October 15
7
9
%
79%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
October 15
1
0
%
10%
October 31
2
4
%
24%
Fed Decision in December?
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
1
%
1%
Trump out as President before 2027?
Yes
4
%
4%
No
9
6
%
96%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes
1
4
%
14%
No
8
7
%
87%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes
7
%
7%
No
9
4
%
94%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes
5
%
5%
No
9
5
%
95%
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro
6
7
%
67%
Delcy Rodríguez
2
4
%
24%
US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?
October 31
1
0
%
10%
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
October 5, 2026
3
%
3%
October 31, 2026
2
5
%
25%
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
October 31
1
2
%
12%
December 31
2
3
%
23%
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
October 31
1
8
%
18%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
October 31
5
%
5%
November 30
8
%
8%
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027
9
5
%
95%
Qatar / UAE
1
%
1%
Fed Decision in January?
50+ bps decrease
1
%
1%
25 bps decrease
3
%
3%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Yes
9
8
%
98%
No
2
%
2%
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by...?
October 31
1
0
%
10%
December 31
2
5
%
25%
Trump meets with Putin by...?
November 30
6
7
%
67%
December 31
7
9
%
79%
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
Yes
3
%
3%
No
9
7
%
97%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Yes
1
4
%
14%
No
8
7
%
87%