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Epstein
Lula or Bolsonaro favored on...?
October 3
1
%
1%
October 5
1
1
%
11%
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?
Yes
6
6
%
66%
No
3
5
%
35%
Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?
Jon Ossoff
4
0
%
40%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
3
7
%
37%
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?
October 15
3
9
%
39%
Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?
↑ 20%
2
%
2%
↑ 15%
5
%
5%
Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31?
Yes
2
%
2%
No
9
8
%
98%
Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?
↑ 60%
2
%
2%
↑ 55%
<1%
Democratic Senate odds on October 2?
<56%
8
%
8%
56-58%
4
%
4%
Senate control favorite on November 2?
Yes
8
8
%
88%
No
1
3
%
13%
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?
JD Vance
9
5
%
95%
Marco Rubio
1
%
1%
Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?
Yes
1
4
%
14%
No
8
6
%
86%
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?
Yes
9
3
%
93%
No
8
%
8%
House control favorite on November 2?
Yes
9
7
%
97%
No
3
%
3%
